21.05.2024 —

The starting point of the Black Swan project is a magical accident. It is she who changes the course of events, and in fairy tales it often turns out to be the climax, after which the main adventures of the main character begin.
The concept of "black swan" appeared at the end of the XVII century. European scientists of that time were sure that these birds could have an exclusively white color. However, during a trip to Australia in 1697, travelers discovered a new species — the black swan. The confidence in the seemingly indisputable knowledge was instantly destroyed by an unforeseen incident. And such a sudden violation of established rules is not such a rare thing. Randomness changes the course of events, distorts the passage of time, and affects the perception of reality.
In the cycle of everyday life, we strive not to lose control of what is happening, not to miss anything important, to maintain a measured tact of life. But one way or another, we experience the power of unpredictable events. An unconscious slip of the tongue, a calendar glitch, or a spilled cup of coffee can change the order of things. Sometimes unpredictable cataclysms changed socio-economic systems and determined the lives of entire generations. In an attempt to maintain control over the past decades, people have turned to the experience of meeting whole flocks of "black swans" to determine the outlines of the future. Now numbers, not magic, have been called upon to help solve the fictional future. But neither advanced forecasting methods nor colossal computing power could prevent inadvertence, randomness and error. However, the instruments of observation and research themselves have shaped our attitude towards the future and, most importantly, have thus changed both the present and the event horizon. The constant presence of unpredictability in our lives leads to a new temporal logic: "here and now" is formed taking into account the uncertain future.